International Conference “Environmental Engineering”, 10th International Conference „Environmental Engineering“

Font Size: 
UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF THE GLOBAL RURAL-URBAN MAPPING PROJECT OVER POLISH CENSUS DATA
Joanna Nowak Da Costa, Beata Całka, Elżbieta Bielecka

Last modified: 2017-09-27

Abstract


The aim of this study is to describe uncertainty of the Global Rural-Urban Mapping Project (GRUMP) data basedon Polish population reference grid created by the Central Statistical Office of Poland, using INSPIRE grid coding system. Theadopted population data uncertainty analysis methodology combined three different approaches, i.e. simple change detectionalgorithm to obtain discrepancies at the grid cell level, statistical analytical approach to investigate these discrepancies’ frequencydistribution, and GIS approach to analyse spatial pattern of distinguished population difference classes. The resultsshowed significant differences in population count at the grid cell level. The maximum magnitude of GRUMP vs. PolishReference Grid overestimation equals 4087 people per 1 sq. km, while the underestimation equals 20,086 people per 1 sq. km.Very few grid cell shows no difference in population count, i.e. 1.5% of total grid cell count. GRUMP data overestimatesPolish total population by 0.15%, while it underestimates the average population density by 50%. The highest populationunderestimations were identified in the centers of the cities, while suburban areas were characterised by the large and regularpopulation overestimations within GRUMP dataset. These GRUMP dataset imperfections can be attributed to country-specificadministrative divisions and to the varying effectiveness of the urban centers delimitation mapping using the night sky lightintensity, including blooming effects as well as not frequently illuminated small settlements.

 

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/enviro.2017.221


Full Text: PDF